Would You Like Fries With That?
May 13th, 2009Oh Dear.
Reading through some sections of my last post, it might seem to some readers (especially those who’ve wandered in from BetterPlace) that I have some criticism of the carwash type battswap system they’ve thought up. On no, not so.
It’s a good system and I’m sure it would work. Until new batteries come along.
I have to say that it restricts itself to one car maker who designs their car with the space and contacts and slides and holding clips etc:.
You are NOT going to get all the car designers to design their idea of a car around a fixed design battery box. The universal petrol input socket I mentioned in my previous post of July 14th 2008 “you’ll never get all …”, will not happen again.
I wish I were wrong.
It is also just uncommon sense to realise that batteries are going to get smaller
So that the current sized battery boxes are going to need to get smaller and all the carwash type battswap installations will have to be altered and so on.
The worst part is that the batteries are not going to improve until there’s a huge demand for EVs, and this demand needs some kind of battswap system to make it work.
So it’s a kind of damned if you do and damned if you don’t situation . Hmmm.
What is going to have to be watched is the financial and otherwise control of the battswap and electronic network capers.
It’s all very well for Shai Agassi to say that he hopes that other companies will copy his system, but if these BetterPlace stations are already on every corner or added into every service station, there will
not be much room for newbies.
Australia, indeed the world’s transport, will end up under the same Mega control as the oils barons have got.
The same as Telstra now has.
The same as Coles and Woolworths now have. ad nauseum.
Currently, it’s the Oil Barons
Soon it will be the Battery Barons
Come on World, GET REAL
You don’t really think, you are surely not so naive as to think that the world controllers out there would let an opportunity like that pass them by?
Think on this: The billion cars on the planet will all be EVs, powered by batteries. So who owns the battery companies?
Will the Oil Barons buy in? I would, wouldn’t you?
Sorry folks, I was just fantasising for a moment. Where was I?
In Australia in 2009 we’ve got Mitsubishi stating that they will have their MiEV on the market circa 2011. They certainly won’t retool their factory to change their cars to use the BetterPlace system.
Then there’s the energetique people in Armidale with their superb Mazda 2 based ‘evMe’ machine (evMe.com.au).
This machine leaves the Mitsubishi for dead in most ways including that it’s all-Australian.
They wouldn’t/couldn’t redesign the whole car to fit in with the BetterPlace concept either.
I pause for a moment to point out that if my own EV, the Daewoo, were fitted with lithium batteries, it would be equal in performance to both of these space machines.
And it’s for sale for only $20k. and it’s available NOW.
However, these two are the only EV makers that seem to be market ready (by 2011) and once they start selling (and they’ll sell thousands straight away), it will be repetitive of Bannister’s 4-minute mile………
all the other car makers will rush whatever they’ve got onto the market licketysplit, or immediately, whichever comes sooner.
Straight away, all production of ICE vehicles will stop-exactly like production of the black vinyl records stopped when CDs came along..
The public will not buy last era’s old fashioned stuff when they have it proven to them that
the era of the electric vehicle has arrived.
Another thing to be watched, is that this new EV caper is not turned into a kissy kissy red carpet turn out where all involved are showing the fans how clever and modern and ultra they are.
The everyday car owner of 2009 does NOT turn left when he gets onto a Jumbo jet, he turns right and joins all the hoi polloi down the back where he thinks he belongs (which is why he’s there).
He’s not going to be interested in high-priced architects’ shiny baubles. He will only change to an EV if it’s pretty much like his old ICE car and it’s cheaper to buy and cheaper to run. Never mind about stuffing up the atmosphere (climate). He only says he cares about that ’cause that’s the latest cool, trendy thing that everybody’s saying.
If changing to an electric vehicle is any harder than picking
up his TV remote control, forget it.
OK, here’s an in-yer-face-reality-check.
On the 15th May 2009 I made the 40 minute drive up to my local
council head office-a multi million dollar edifice of some import.
I showed an officer there the printed downloads and explained about the Melbourne to Brisbane electronic highway planned by BP, and it went like this:
First of all, realise the distances. Melbourne to Sydney is about 900 kms depending on if you go via expressways, and Sydney to Brisbane is about 1200 kms.
Next, the main truck route from Melbourne to Sydney is north through the cities of Albury, Yass and Goulburn. You would not take the coast route ’cause the coast towns are sea change little sea resorts.
You take that route if you’re a grey nomad and just wandering along.
Now, car drivers travel on the main highways.
So the current service stations are on the main highways, and any proposed battswap stations would have to be on the main highway too. Makes sense to me.
But excuse me, all the good spots were taken and built on decades ago. There’s nothing left. Woops.
OK, so you might be a good wheeler-dealer and you find some more spots to build new battswap stations.
The council official told me that you don’t just go in and build anything you want. Firstly you need council approval which includes all sorts of environmental studies, traffic flow, neighbouring businesses, waste disposal and so on.
I was advised it could take at least 6 months if all went smoothly
Then you’ve got to start building…..
BUT IF YOU JUST ADDED ONTO AN EXISTING SERVICE STATION, IT MIGHT TAKE ONLY TWO MONTHS.
I suggest that you would need as many battswap stations as there are old fashioned petrol service stations. I’m taking a very wild guess, but there must be hundreds of service stations over this Melbourne to Brisbane 2100 km route. It must also be realised that these service stations cannot be removed or replaced because this is a major trucking route with just hundreds of trucks every week and they use diesel and it will be decades before they will all be replaced by battery driven trucks. Oh deary me.
SO WHAT’S THE ALTERNATIVE? Well let’s have a look at what’s been happening in the past…..
Was it 40 years ago or even longer, that in Australia stations did not have super or standard ie: different grades of petrol. What you got was different brands such as BP, Shell, Golden Fleece and others and there were several pumps in a row each with its own maker’s brand and you chose whichever brand “you knew” was the best. It was rumored that it all came out of the same refinery and some ’special’ additive was poured into the tanker’s top at the refinery gates on the way out !
Then the stations went one brand and you went into the station that served ‘your’ brand, then each brand started marketing super and standard to suit (they said) the new high octane cars.
Then standard was changed to unleaded to avoid the lead in standard poisoning the atmosphere (this was before it was called “the climate”).
But then LPG came on the market exactly the same way as EVs will come on the market. There were a few and then more and more. The stations didn’t freak out, They just added an LPG pump with the special type of connection that LPG cars need.
So then E10 appeared to save the climate and it was cheaper and wouldn’t deplete the Earth’s oil reserves, but it was ‘proven’ to be bad for engines, and stations advertised that their petrol didn’t have E10 in it.
So they were marketing super and unleaded and E10.
Now in 2009, probably because of the world finance and people tightening their belts, unleaded is disappearing and it’s now called (and advertised as) unleaded E10.
So is this the same E10 that was proven to be ‘not good’ and damaging to car engines?
I point out that E10 was always unleaded. Maybe it wouldn’t be nice to keep referring to it as E10 because drivers ‘who care’ don’t like putting E10 in their car and they would be asking what’s happened to unleaded.
They’d certainly be asking something anyway.
I hope.
The point is that the oil industry play silly buggers with their petrol/gasoline and meet the market as long as they’re making a buck. Makes sense.
At the moment, it’s just with their own (oil based) products.
Will they let the battswap boys in?
Let’s have a look at what else they’re doing…
Many of the stations are huge, too big really to sell just oil products.
It made financial sense to allow Hungry Jacks and Maccas, KFC and Krispy Kreme to come in
Many of the stations have auto car wash bays. These could be changed over to battswap stations.
In years to come, when batteries are the size of a loaf of bread, and battswap stations are no longer required, drivers could go into the drive-through where the order clerk would say:
“That’s two Whoppers, a chocolate shake and three recharged batteries.
“Would you like fries with that?”
So why the bloody hell would you build new stuff when you can start up your new car business where the cars go anyway? …and don’t forget, you don’t have to pay for all the service station infrastructure, you know, the toilets, the chocolates, the chips, the acid soft drinks and other diabetics’ health foods.
Of COURSE the oil barons would let the battswap boys in.
As long as there’s a sensible dollar in it.
YOU would, WOULDN’T you?
My good old aussie neighbour next door, Hermie Goldburg
says HE would and boy, does HE know how to save a dollar!
He doesn’t even buy his wife a present at Xmas time!
My next post will be: Polioticians and the electric car.
You won’t believe